Home / NFL / Daily Fantasy NFL Week 15 GPP Picks, Locks and Value Plays

 

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*Prices and statistics are from DraftKings

Best QBs for NFL week 15 GPPs

There are some expensive QBs in play, including Matt Ryan ($7300), but I recommend going cheap at QB.

Derek Carr ($6300) is my #1 QB in cash and he’s in play for GPPs, but he has only gone off once this season. I project Carr to score 25-30 FPs and he should go overlooked in a road game, but his road/home splits are almost the same.

I’ll be taking a chance on Eli Manning ($5600) in several LUs too. The Giants host the Lions who rank 25th against the QB position. Detroit allow 252.5 PYPG (20th) and 20.2 PPG (11th), but they’ve played a weak schedule.

Manning averages 19.1 FPPG at home (13.4 FPPG on the road) and at his price he’s worth a punt. My top WR is OBJ this week, so I’ll be stacking Eli and OBJ into several of my GPP line-ups.

These are the two QBs I’m focusing on. Typically I have more QB tips, but this week looks like a lot of traps.

Best RBs for NFL week 15 GPPs

David Johnson ($10,100), Le’Veon Bell ($9800) and LeSean McCoy ($8900) are all in prime spots.

It’s very tight, but you could conceivably roster Johnson and Bell in GPPs. I love Johnson in a bounce back spot in a road game against the Saints. He has potential to finish with 100+ rushing and receiving yards.

Bell just exploded in the snow for 54.8 FPs against the Bills. I’d temper expectations with Bell, but the Bengals do give up 119.1 RYPG (25th). If one RB out of the top three is going to burn you with a dud, I feel it’ll be Bell.

McCoy gets the Browns at home. Jeremy Hill just had a good game against Cleveland. McCoy is averaging 21.1 FPPG, but he hasn’t scored less than 22.8 FPs the last three weeks. He has been more active in the pass game too.

If you roster just one elite RB, I love the idea of pairing Johnson or McCoy with Devonta Freeman ($6700).

Freeman had a dud last week (3.8 FPs), but that’s because the Falcons were able to rest him with a big lead. Every RB smashes the 49ers who rank 32nd against RBs, rushing yards against (170.8 RYPG) and points allowed (29.5 PPG).

LeGarrette Blount ($5000) hasn’t scored 20+ FPs in a game since week 10, but he has a high ceiling. He can get going and steamroll defenses. The Broncos allow 127.2 RYPG (29th) and will have to deal with Tom Brady.

Bill Belichick is unpredictable, but he’d be smart to ride Blount and his 4.1 YPA average.

FanDuel NFL Week 15 DFS

Best WRs for NFL week 15 GPPs

Let’s start with the boom or bust Mike Evans ($8300). He isn’t cheap, but he’s always in play for GPPs because of huge upside. Evans has scored 30+ FPs three times already this season, but he’s coming off two shaky performances.

The Buccaneers offense has stalled a bit the last two weeks and Evans has only seen 14 targets combined. He typically sees 10+ targets per game, so his lack of targets is a concern, but you need a bit of exposure to him.

Dallas allow 267.8 PYPG (28th), but rank 2nd against the run (83.1 RYPG), so Jamies Winston should air it out.

I’ve already mentioned I’ll have exposure to Odell Beckham Jr. ($8000) in cash and GPPs this week.

Jordy Nelson ($7300) is an option, but he’s TD dependant. He could score two TDs against the Bears, but if he doesn’t he’ll likely bust as yards will be at a premium against the Bears passing defense (219.5 PYPG – 6th).

I hate that the price on Tyreek Hill ($5700) keeps trending up, but he has been on fire. He has caught 56 of 68 targets this season, which is remarkable. He has scored 23+ FPs in two of the Chiefs last three games.

The home match-up for Hill against the Titans is ideal too, as Tennessee allow 274.9 PYPG (31st).

One of my more sneaky picks is Rishard Matthews ($4600). The Titans are on the road against KC and I expect Kansas to hold a lead throughout. When the Titans are down and have to pass Matthews production goes way up.

In the Titans last two losses, Matthews has a combined 23 targets and he scored 24+ FPs in both losses.

I’ll have some exposure to J.J. Nelson ($3900) as well in order to load up at RB this week in some LUs. Nelson had two touches last week and scored two TDs (19.4 FPs). If he gets more touches, he could win someone a GPP.

I love the match-up for Nelson too, as the Saints allow 268.3 PYPG (29th) and 25.6 PPG (29th).

Best TEs for NFL week 15 GPPs

I’ll have a bit of exposure to Travis Kelce ($5900) because if he finds the endzone, he’s going to go off. Kelce has now gone four consecutive games with 100+ receiving yards and 18+ FPs, but he doesn’t have a TD during that time.

The Titans rank 18th against TEs and give up a ton of yards. The problem with Kelce is his price.

Cameron Brate ($3800) could kill our LUs with next to zero production or he could score 20+ FPs at a discount. Brate has scored 20+ FPs in two of the Bucs last five games and he’s in a good spot against Dallas.

Dallas rank 26th against TEs and they’ll be more concerned trying to shutdown the Buccaneers WRs. You could get crazy and stack Winston, Evans and Brate together in a GPP line-up this week as well.

I know I had to reach into the bargain bin at TE due to spending up at RB in a lot of LUs. Jermaine Gresham ($2500) is minimum price, but he has 7+ targets and 9.5+ FPs in each of the Cardinals last three games.

Even better, Gresham and the Cardinals play the Saints, so Carson Palmer should drop back plenty.

Best DSTs for NFL week 15 GPPs

There are a handful of DSTs I like this week.

My top two are the Green Bay Packers DST ($3200) and Kansas City Chiefs DST ($3400).

Read my studs vs. duds article to learn why I’m targeting the Packers. The Chiefs DST has been consistently scoring double digits in FPs and they scored 35 FPs back in week 3, but I feel the Chiefs ceiling is limited.

The Buffalo Bills DST ($3700) hasn’t scored double digits in FPs since week 5, but they started the season by scoring 10+ FPs in four of five games. This week the Bills are at home against the Browns.

If you spend up elsewhere, you may need a cheap punt and this week I like the Indianapolis Colts ($2500). The Colts aren’t going to score 25+ FPs most likely, but we could see double digits at a cheap price.

The Colts are on the road against the Vikings who have been struggling mightily on offense. The Colts have scored 10+ FPs four times this season and three of those games were played on the road.

NFL week 15 over/under prediction

Steelers vs. Bengals Under 44 Points (-110) at Bookmaker

I love betting on the under in these division rivalry games. The Steelers (8-5) have won five in a row and lead the AFC North, while the Bengals (5-7-1) have won two in a row, but are still back in 3rd place in the division.

Four of the five last H2H games have gone under the total and that trend won’t change here. When these two played in week two, the Steelers won 24-16 at home and I expect a similar result in Cincinnati.

 
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