Home / NFL / NFL Daily Fantasy Thanksgiving Day Preview: Cash and GPP Picks

 

This is my favorite time of year. Families are putting up Christmas trees and decorations and most of us are getting into the holiday spirit. Here’s my complete NFL daily fantasy Thanksgiving Day preview.

While I enjoy spending time with the family and eating turkey, Thanksgiving Day is also a big day for DFS.

Play DFS at DraftKingsDraftKings are running the Wishbone Classic ($1,500,000 GTD) and Mini Wishbone Classic ($650,000). If you enjoy playing higher-stakes, DK are also running the $400K Wildcat Thanksgiving Special ($333 Buy-In).

We can’t forget about FanDuel either. FanDuel are running the $25 NFL Gravy Bomb ($600,000 GTD), $5 NFL Roasted Rush ($500,000 GTD), $2 NFL Pecan Snap ($250,000 GTD) and $1 NFL Sweet Potato Dive ($100,000 GTD).

Want to become a better DFS player? You need to join Fantasy Labs – the #1 DFS tools platform.

Prices, FPPG stats and Opponent Rank vs. Position stats are from DraftKings unless otherwise stated.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions week 12 DFS preview

The Detroit Lions (6-4) have won two games in a row and lead the NFC North. Like every Thanksgiving Day, the Lions are at home. This year Detroit host the Minnesota Vikings (6-4) who they’re battling with for the lead in the division.

Detroit are –3 favorites and the over/under is only 43 points, but there’s still some DFS value here.

The Lions had an 0-9 run between 2004-12 on Thanksgiving Day, but they’ve won the last three Thanksgiving Day games and scored 34+ points in each of those wins. Can Matthew Stafford ($5700) and the Lions offense to explode again?

Minnesota only allow 206.1 PYPG (4th), 100.8 RYPG (13th) and 17.6 PPG (2nd). However, they allowed the Lions to score 22 points in a loss (22-16) back in week 9. Stafford only threw for 219 yards (2 TDs) in the win, though.

On a short three-game slate, I can’t advise you to completely fade anyone, but I won’t be rostering Stafford. I actually like Sam Bradford ($5100) a lot more in GPPs, as he won’t be highly-owned and he played well against Detroit in W9.

The Lions allow 253.6 PYPG (17th), 104.6 RYPG (18th) and 22.5 PPG (16th). Bradford threw for 273 passing yards and 1 TD against the Lions in W9. I’m stacking him with Stefon Diggs ($6900) in most of my Bradford LUs.

Diggs just had a dud (9.7 FPs) last week, but he scored 21+ FPs in each of the three games prior. He had 13 receptions against the Lions, but only gained 80 yards. If he catches 10+ passes again, he’ll be the leading WR on Thursday.

Golden Tate ($5600) and Marvin Jones Jr. ($4100) are both GPP punts. Jones hasn’t done much since exploding in W3 and he’s risky, but will allow you to differentiate your LUs and he has 30+ FP potential in him.

Tate is coming off a dud, but he had seen 9+ targets in each of the four games prior. He’s a safer cash game WR, but he has GPP upside as we seen in W9 against Minnesota when Tate put up 25.0 FPs.

At TE, Eric Ebron ($4000) is the best cash option and he’s in play in GPPs due to the short slate. Ebron has scored 14+ FPs in each of the Lions last three games. He has a nice floor, but he hasn’t exceeded 16.2 FPs in a game this season.

This game features the two most expensive DSTs on Thursday. If you have the salary space, the Vikings DST ($3400) is the best bet in cash and GPPs. The two other games on the schedule have huge game totals.

Best Bet: Over 43 Points (-110) at Bovada

Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys week 12 DFS preview

The Dallas Cowboys (9-1) host the Washington Redskins (6-3-1) in another divisional game. The Redskins have won two in a row and are playing good football, but no team has played better than the Cowboys who have won nine in a row.

Dallas are –7 point spread favorites and the over/under is 51 points.

Dak Prescott ($6300) and Kirk Cousins ($5900) are both in play for cash and GPPs. I lean to Cousins a bit more in GPPs, as I expect Prescott to be the most popular QB, but both guys have 30+ FP upside in what will be a high-scoring game.

The Cowboys defense has been great this season. They only allow 18.7 PPG (8th), 263.5 PYPG (21st) and 84.4 RYPG (3rd). I expect Cousins to have to drop back and pass a lot, but I’m worried about Rob Kelley ($4300) stealing TDs.

Kelley came through last week with 34.7 FPs. He rushed for 137 yards and 3 TDs on a tough Packers run defense. He will be the chalk on Thursday at RB, but can you pass up his upside? I have him ranked as the #3 RB on the slate.

Ezekiel Elliott ($8500) isn’t cheap, but it’s easy to afford him and he’s in a great spot. The Redskins defense are allowing 23.3 PPG (18th), 259.2 PYPG (18th) and 112.1 RYPG (21st), so the Cowboys can opt to run or pass.

Elliott is averaging 23.4 FPPG and he has shown us 40+ FP potential. If he has one of those multiple TD games you’re going to need to have him in your LU. Even if the Cowboys are down, Elliott is active in the pass game.

I still haven’t rostered Dez Bryant ($7700) this season, but that’ll change on Thanksgiving Day. Bryant has scored 24+ FPs in three of the Cowboys last four games. If Prescott has a good game it’ll be because of Bryant.

Cole Beasley ($5500) relies on TDs and his upside is limited, but he has seen 6+ targets in every game since W6.

The Redskins WRs are all in play, but you can bet one or two of them will burn LUs.

I’ll have exposure to Jamison Crowder ($5800), DeSean Jackson ($4800) and Pierre Garcon ($3900).Garcon just scored 26.6 FPs last week and he has seen 7+ targets in each of the Redskins last three games.

Out of the three WRs, I feel Jackson is the best fade. He’ll be popular and it’s a good spot to pivot. Crowder is my top targets out of the three. He has scored 20+ FPs in three of the Redskins last four games.

At TE I like Jordan Reed ($6200) in cash and Jason Witten ($3200) in GPPs. Witten won’t be popular and he could end up having one more big game in him. With 30+ FP upside, Witten could prove to be a sneaky punt.

Reed hasn’t exceeded 100+ receiving yards once this season, yet he remains extremely popular and will be chalk in cash and GPPs on Thursday. Reed has a decent floor for cash, but I’d pivot elsewhere in GPPs.

Best Bet: Washington Redskins +7 (-110) at Bookmaker

FanDuel NFL Week 12 Picks

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts week 12 DFS preview

In the final game on Thanksgiving Day the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5) play the Indianapolis Colts (5-5). This should be another shootout and I wouldn’t recommend rostering the Steelers DST ($2800) or the Colts DST ($2400).

The Steelers are –3.5 point favorites, while the over/under is 53.5 points.

Indy have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. They allow 27.3 PPG (26th), 284.5 PYPG (32nd) and 113.1 RYPG (23rd). You can bet there will be a lot of LUs with Steelers’ stacks in all of the big GPPs on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Ben Roethlisberger ($7300) will fight with Prescott for the most popular QB on Thanksgiving Day. Big Ben is coming off a dud, but he’s averaging 22.0 FPPG and has scored 30+ FPs in three of the last six games he has started.

Is this the time to go all-in on Big Ben and fade Le’Veon Bell ($9000). The Colts rank #30 against QBs and #23 against RBs. Bell has scored 34+ FPs in each of the last two weeks and he’ll be the most popular RB in cash and GPPs.

I won’t completely fade Bell because he’s a bit part of the pass game, but I’ll have multiple LUs without him.

All of my Big Ben LUs will have Antonio Brown ($9200). Brown has seen 10+ targets in the Steelers last four games. He only scored 15.6 FPs last week, but he has scored 20+ FPs in seven of ten games this season.

Eli Rogers ($4500) was popular last week and had a dud, but he’s a salary relief option at WR. Rogers has had 4+ catches in each of the Steelers last four games. That number could double against a poor Colts defense.

We’ll have to watch the status of Andrew Luck ($7500), as he has to go through concussion protocol. The Colts need to win, so they’ll do everything to ensure he can play, but if he can’t, Scott Tolzien ($5000) would start.

Pittsburgh’s defense is allowing 21.5 PPG (13th), 267.9 PYPG (26th) and 95.7 RYPG (9th). With that being said, Luck or Tolzien are in play this week, but the Colts WRs and TEs should be downgraded if Tolzien starts.

T.Y Hilton ($7900) and Donte Moncrief ($6400) are the two Colts WRs I’m targeting. Hilton has the best ceiling for GPPs, but I love Moncrief in cash and GPPs. Moncrief has scored a TD in each of the Colts last three games.

Moncrief hasn’t scored 20+ FPs once this season, but that could change this week. Moncrief will see 6+ targets and while he normally doesn’t break off many big gains, the Steelers have been brutal against the pass.

I’m not interested in targeting Jack Doyle ($2800) or Dwayne Allen ($2600) at TE.

Frank Gore ($5200) is one of my top cash plays. He has consistently scored double-digit FPs all season. He has 10+ FPs in nine of ten games. He has scored 14+ FPs in each of the Colts last five games.

Gore isn’t ideal in GPPs because his upside is limited and the Steelers have been good against the run.

Best Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers –3.5 (-110) at Bovada

 
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